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In this bachelor thesis, different models for predicting the influenza virus are
examined in more detail.
The focus is on epidemiological compartmental models, as well as on different
Machine Learning approaches.
In particular, the basics chapter presents the SIR model and its various extensions.
Furthermore, Deep Learning and Social Network approaches are
investigated and the applied methods of a selected article are analysed in more
detail.
The practical part of this work consists in the implementation of a Multiple
Linear Regression model and an Artificial Neural Network. For the development
of both models the programming language Python was chosen using the
Deep Learning Framework Keras.
Tests were performed with real data from the Réseau Sentinelles, a French
organisation for monitoring national health.
The results of the tests show that the Neural Network is able to make better
predictions than the Multiple Linear Regression model.
The discussion shows ideas for improving influenza prediction including the
establishment of a worldwide collaboration between the surveillance centres as
well as the consolidation of historical data with real-time social media data.
Therefore, this work consists of a state-of-the art of models regarding the
spread of influenza virus, the development and comparison of several models
programmed in Python, evaluated on real data.
Alzheimer’s Disease affects millions of people worldwide, but till today, the gold standard
for definitive diagnosis of this disease is a biopsy. Nevertheless, with the progress
of the disease, a volume loss in the Hippocampus can be observed. Therefore, good
segmentation methods are crucial to facilitate quantification of this loss.
The focus of this work is on the development of a Machine Learning algorithm, more
precisely a Generative Adversarial Network, for the automated segmentation of the
human Hippocampus and its substructures in Magnetic Resonance Images. In particular,
the task is to determine if the integration of a pre-trained network that generates
segmentations into a Generative Adversarial Network scheme can improve generated
segmentations. In this context, a segmentation network in form of a U-net corresponds
to the generator. The discriminator is developed separately and merged in a second
step with the generator for combined training.
With a literature review regarding the automated segmentation of the Hippocampus,
current methods in this field and their medical and technological basics were identified.
The datasets were preprocessed to make them suitable for the use in a neural
network. In the training process, the generator was trained first until convergence.
Then, the Generative Adversarial Network including the pre-trained generator was
trained. The outcomes were evaluated via cross-validation in two different datasets
(Kulaga-Yoskovitz and Winterburn). The Generative Adversarial Network scheme
was tested regarding different architectural and training aspects, including the usage
of skip-connections and a combined loss function.
The best results were achieved in the Kulaga-Yoskovitz dataset with a Dice coefficient
of 90.84 % after the combined training of generator and discriminator with a joined
loss function. This improves the current state of the art method in the same task and
dataset with a Dice index of 88.79 % by Romero [Rom17]. Except of two cases in the
Winterburn dataset, the proposed combined method could always improve the Dice
results after the training of only the generator, even though only by a small amount.